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            Abstract BackgroundUrbanization can influence disease vectors by altering larval habitat, microclimates, and host abundance. The global increase in urbanization, especially in Africa, is likely to alter vector abundance and pathogen transmission. We investigated the effect of urbanization and weather on the abundance of two mosquitoes,Aedes aegyptiandAedes albopictus, and infection with dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses at 63 sites in six cities spanning a 900-km latitudinal range in Cameroon, Central Africa. MethodsWe used human landing catches and backpack-mounted aspirators to sample mosquitoes and collected larval habitat, host availability, and weather (temperature, precipitation, humidity) data for each site in each city. We analyzed land use and land cover information and satellite photos at varying radii around sites (100 m to 2 km) to quantify the extent of urbanization and the number of structures around each site. We used a continuous urbanization index (UI; range 0–100) that increased with impermeable surface and decreased with forest cover. ResultsUrbanization increased larval habitat, human host availability, andAe. aegyptimosquito abundance.Aedes aegyptiabundance increased 1.7% (95% CI 0.69–2.7%) with each 1 unit increase in the urbanization index in all six cities (Douala, Kribi, Yaounde, Ngaoundere, Garoua, and Maroua) with a 5.4-fold increase from UI = 0 to UI = 100, and also increased with rainfall. In contrast,Ae. albopictusabundance increased with urbanization in one city, but showed no influence of urbanization in two other cites. Across three cities,Ae. albopictusabundance increased with rainfall, temperature, and humidity. Finally, we did not detect Zika, dengue, or chikungunya viruses in any specimens, and found weak evidence of interspecific competition in analyses of adult population growth rates. ConclusionsThese results show that urbanization consistently increasesAe. aegyptiabundance across a broad range of habitats in Central Africa, while effects onAe. albopictuswere more variable and the abundance of both species were influenced by rainfall. Future urbanization of Africa will likely increaseAe. aegyptiabundance, and climate change will likely alter abundance of both species through changes in precipitation and temperature. Graphical Abstractmore » « less
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            Abstract Maternal age can influence reproductive success and offspring fitness, but the timing, magnitude and direction of those impacts are not well understood. Evolutionary theory predicts that selection on fertility senescence is stronger than maternal effect senescence, and therefore, the rate of maternal effect senescence will be faster than fertility senescence.We used a 36‐year study of northern elephant seals (Mirounga angustirostris) to investigate reproductive senescence. Our dataset included 103,746 sightings of 1203 known‐age female northern elephant seals.We hypothesized that fertility (maternal reproductive success), offspring survival and recruitment into the breeding population, and male offspring production would decline with advanced maternal age. Furthermore, we hypothesized that older females would shorten their moulting haul out to allow for more time spent foraging.We found evidence for both fertility and maternal effect senescence, but no evidence for senescence impacting offspring recruitment or sex ratio. Breeding probability declined from 96.4% (95% CI: 94.8%–97.5%) at 11 years old to 89.7% (81.9%–94.3%) at 19 years old, and the probability of offspring survival declined from 30.3% (23.6%–38.0%) at 11 years old to 9.1% (3.2%–22.9%) at 19 years old.The rates of decline for fertility and maternal effect senescence were not different from each other. However, maternal effect senescence had a substantially greater impact on the number of offspring surviving to age 1 compared to fertility senescence. Compared to a hypothetical non‐senescent population, maternal effect senescence resulted in 5.3% fewer surviving pups, whereas fertility senescence resulted in only 0.3% fewer pups produced per year. These results are consistent with evolutionary theory predicting weaker selection on maternal effect than fertility senescence. Maternal effect senescence may therefore be more influential on population dynamics than fertility senescence in some systems.more » « less
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            Abstract Population monitoring and research are essential for conserving wildlife, but these activities may directly impact the populations under study. These activities are often restricted to minimize disturbance, and impacts must be weighed against knowledge gained. However, few studies have quantified the effects of research or census‐related visitation frequency on populations, and low visitation rates have been hypothesized to have little effect. Hibernating bats have been hypothesized to be especially sensitive to visitation because they have limited energetic stores to survive winter, and disturbance may partly deplete these stores. We examined the effect of site visitation frequency on population growth rates of three species of hibernating bats, little brown bats (Myotis lucifugus), Indiana bats (Myotis sodalis) and tri‐colored bats (Perimyotis subflavus), both before and after detection of the disease white‐nose syndrome. We found no evidence that more frequent visits decreased population growth rates for any of these species. Estimated coefficients were either the opposite sign as hypothesized (population growth rates increased with visitation frequency) or were very small (difference in population growth rates 0.067% [SE 2.5%]–1.8% [SE 9.8%]) relative to spatial and temporal variation (5.9–32%). In contrast, white‐nose syndrome impacts on population growth rates were easily detected and well‐characterized statistically (effect sizes 4.4–8.0; severe population declines occurred in the second and third years after pathogen detection) indicating that we had sufficient power to detect effects. These results indicate that visitation frequency (forM. sodalis:annual vs. semi‐annual counts; forM. lucifugusandP. subflavus:1–3 three research visits per year) had undetectable impacts on bat population growth rates both with and without the additional stress of an emerging infectious disease. Knowledge gained from censuses and research may outweigh disturbance due to human visitation if it can be used to understand and conserve the species.more » « less
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